Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.927112 1.044310 1.172197 1.322361 1.494178 1.685000 1.913497
2025-01-19 0.712447 0.862556 1.039942 1.266042 1.548010 1.889920 2.338731
2025-01-26 0.624641 0.793424 1.003808 1.287336 1.662526 2.146254 2.824013
2025-02-02 0.563662 0.744442 0.979817 1.311959 1.773761 2.400751 3.329514
2025-02-09 0.511790 0.698653 0.951142 1.321794 1.859695 2.623773 3.812656
2025-02-16 0.468658 0.658652 0.923921 1.327266 1.935535 2.835601 4.300361
2025-02-23 0.438202 0.632523 0.912151 1.351432 2.038107 3.094045 4.887321
2025-03-02 0.397152 0.586542 0.866241 1.318210 2.047142 3.206491 5.250952
2025-03-09 0.376274 0.568504 0.859842 1.344139 2.150226 3.476934 5.908462
2025-03-16 0.348908 0.537848 0.830830 1.330278 2.185346 3.636678 6.391162
2025-03-23 0.330314 0.519268 0.818916 1.342541 2.264354 3.877660 7.048626
2025-03-30 0.307571 0.492051 0.790532 1.323866 2.286730 4.019440 7.535874
2025-04-06 0.288162 0.469238 0.768233 1.314749 2.327192 4.202065 8.135292
2025-04-13 0.262281 0.433668 0.721682 1.258603 2.275893 4.207625 8.380370
2025-04-20 0.251846 0.423666 0.718218 1.279777 2.371450 4.505065 9.272332
2025-04-27 0.242779 0.415285 0.716776 1.304237 2.475327 4.829940 10.269899
2025-05-04 0.232256 0.403480 0.708147 1.314008 2.550569 5.104107 11.193784
2025-05-11 0.221971 0.391329 0.697870 1.319445 2.617124 5.366857 12.129637
2025-05-18 0.214918 0.384591 0.697085 1.343452 2.724559 5.729809 13.360843
2025-05-25 0.201227 0.364475 0.669410 1.310448 2.706429 5.811089 13.905529
2025-06-01 0.195609 0.359321 0.670192 1.336208 2.819267 6.203565 15.307696
2025-06-08 0.185849 0.345507 0.652964 1.322436 2.842020 6.387551 16.188246
2025-06-15 0.179610 0.338167 0.648074 1.334619 2.925123 6.725507 17.542910